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Mapping drivers of life expectancy change in Asia from 1990 to 2023

  • GBD 2023 Asia Life Expectancy Collaborators
  • School of Health and Environmental Science
  • Korea University
  • Department of Primary Care and Public Health
  • University of East Anglia
  • UK Department of Health and Social Care
  • Department of Pediatrics
  • Kyung Hee University
  • Department of Pediatrics
  • Yonsei University
  • Department of Health Metrics Sciences
  • University of Washington
  • Clinical and Administrative Pharmacy
  • University of Georgia
  • Peking University
  • Endocrinology and Metabolism Research Center
  • Hormozgan University of Medical Sciences
  • Department of Biochemistry and Pharmacogenomics
  • Medical University of Warsaw
  • Kazakh National Medical University
  • Chinese University of Hong Kong
  • Tianjin Medical University
  • School of Public Health
  • Wuhan University of Science and Technology
  • Department of Internal Medicine
  • Jacobi Medical Center
  • Albert Einstein College of Medicine
  • Medical Oncology Department of Gastrointestinal Cancer
  • Dalian University of Technology
  • School of Biomedical Engineering
  • Capital Center for Children’s Health
  • Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences
  • The University of Hong Kong
  • Department of Animal Resources
  • University of Salahaddin
  • Department of Nutrition and Dietetics
  • Cihan University-Erbil
  • Department of Public Health
  • University of Hail
  • Department of Zoology and Entomology
  • Al-Azhar University
  • Basic Science Department
  • School of Public Health
  • Hubei University of Medicine
  • Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics
  • Wuhan University
  • Department of Public Health
  • Juntendo University
  • Department of Biostatistics
  • University of Toyama
  • Centre for Suicide Research and Prevention
  • Department of Social Work and Social Administration
  • Department of Epidemiology
  • Xuzhou Medical University
  • National University of Singapore
  • KHA Center for Population Health Research
  • Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention
  • University of New South Wales
  • Department of Biostatistics and Data Science
  • The University of Osaka
  • Thomas Jefferson University
  • Department of Medicine
  • Mashhad University of Medical Sciences
  • School of Traditional Chinese Medicine
  • Beijing University of Chinese Medicine
  • The University of Chicago
  • Department of General Medicine
  • Institute of Science Tokyo
  • Department of Public Health Medicine
  • University of Tsukuba
  • Zagazig University
  • Molecular Biology Institute of Barcelona
  • Department of Microbiology
  • Central University of Punjab, Bathinda
  • School of Medicine
  • Kunming University of Science and Technology
  • School of Population Health
  • Cardiovascular Program
  • The George Institute for Global Health
  • Department of Endocrinology
  • University of Science and Technology of China
  • University of Rochester
  • Department of Intelligent Medical Engineering
  • Anhui Medical University
  • Department of Surgery
  • School of Public Health
  • Public Health Sciences Division
  • Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center
  • Statistics and Data Management Center
  • Western Institute of Digital-Intelligent Medicine
  • Chongqing Medical University
  • School of Pharmacy
  • Monash University Malaysia
  • Department of Nursing
  • Universitas Aisyiyah Bandung
  • University of Arizona
  • Department of Community Medicine
  • Rajarata University of Sri Lanka
  • Department of Surgery
  • University of Colombo
  • Department of Medical Surgical Nursing
  • Gadjah Mada University
  • Cardiology Department
  • Royal Children's Hospital Melbourne
  • Department of Critical Care and Neurosciences
  • Murdoch Children's Research Institute
  • Department of Orthopaedics
  • General Hospital of Central Theater Command
  • Air Force Medical University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

Life expectancy is a key indicator of population health and an important guide for health policy1,2. Although Asia represents approximately 60% of the global population, studies of longitudinal trends in life expectancy and their underlying drivers across Asian countries remain limited, with most previous research focused on western or high-income settings3, 4, 5–6. Here we provide a comprehensive analysis of life expectancy, cause-specific mortality and risk factors in 1990–2023 across 34 Asian countries and territories, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 20231,7. Life expectancy increased in all countries and territories between 1990 and 2023, with the largest annual gains observed in South Asia and the smallest annual gains in high-income Asia Pacific countries and territories. Reductions in cardiovascular disease mortality were the primary contributors to life expectancy gains in Central Asia, East Asia and high-income Asia Pacific, whereas declines in diarrhoeal diseases and tuberculosis contributed most in South and Southeast Asia. In 2019–2023, life expectancy declined in several Asian regions, largely driven by the COVID-19 pandemic, with a nearly two-year loss in the first year of the pandemic. The causes of changes in life expectancy and the contributing risk factors varied across regions and countries/territories. Therefore, under the principles of proportional universalism, proactive and effective policies at both regional and national levels are essential to reduce premature mortality and reduce life expectancy inequalities across Asia.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)971-979
Number of pages9
JournalNature
Volume656
Issue number8129
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 27 Aug 2026

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

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