TY - JOUR
T1 - Mapping drivers of life expectancy change in Asia from 1990 to 2023
AU - GBD 2023 Asia Life Expectancy Collaborators
AU - Steel, Nicholas
AU - Yon, Dong Keon
AU - Shin, Jae Il
AU - Hay, Simon I.
AU - Zuber, Mohammed
AU - Zou, Zhiyong
AU - Zoghi, Ghazal
AU - Zielińska, Magdalena
AU - Zia, Hafsa
AU - Zhumagaliuly, Abzal
AU - Zhong, Claire Chenwen
AU - Zhang, Zhiqiang
AU - Zhang, Yunquan
AU - Zhang, Xiaoyi
AU - Zhang, Liqun
AU - Zhang, Dongmiao
AU - P Zhang, Casper J.
AU - Zebari, Salih Mustafa
AU - M Zeariya, Mohammed G.
AU - Yunus, Ghazala
AU - Yu, Yong
AU - Yu, Chuanhua
AU - Yonemoto, Naohiro
AU - Yip, Paul
AU - Yin, Dehui
AU - Yi, Siyan
AU - Ye, Pengpeng
AU - Yasufuku, Yuichi
AU - Yarahmadi, Amir
AU - Yao, Haiqiang
AU - Yano, Yuichiro
AU - Yamagishi, Kazumasa
AU - Yahya, Galal
AU - Yadav, Mukesh Kumar
AU - Xue, Mingyang
AU - Xu, Xiaoyue
AU - Xu, Suowen
AU - Xie, Wanqing
AU - Xiao, Lishun
AU - Xiao, Hong
AU - Xia, Zhijia
AU - Wong, Yen Jun
AU - Wilandika, Angga
AU - Wijarnpreecha, Karn
AU - Wickramasinghe, Nuwan Darshana
AU - Wickramasinghe, Dakshitha Praneeth
AU - Wicaksana, Anggi Lukman
AU - Weintraub, Robert G.
AU - Wei, Fei Long
AU - Subramaniyan, Vetriselvan
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited 2026.
PY - 2026/8/27
Y1 - 2026/8/27
N2 - Life expectancy is a key indicator of population health and an important guide for health policy1,2. Although Asia represents approximately 60% of the global population, studies of longitudinal trends in life expectancy and their underlying drivers across Asian countries remain limited, with most previous research focused on western or high-income settings3, 4, 5–6. Here we provide a comprehensive analysis of life expectancy, cause-specific mortality and risk factors in 1990–2023 across 34 Asian countries and territories, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 20231,7. Life expectancy increased in all countries and territories between 1990 and 2023, with the largest annual gains observed in South Asia and the smallest annual gains in high-income Asia Pacific countries and territories. Reductions in cardiovascular disease mortality were the primary contributors to life expectancy gains in Central Asia, East Asia and high-income Asia Pacific, whereas declines in diarrhoeal diseases and tuberculosis contributed most in South and Southeast Asia. In 2019–2023, life expectancy declined in several Asian regions, largely driven by the COVID-19 pandemic, with a nearly two-year loss in the first year of the pandemic. The causes of changes in life expectancy and the contributing risk factors varied across regions and countries/territories. Therefore, under the principles of proportional universalism, proactive and effective policies at both regional and national levels are essential to reduce premature mortality and reduce life expectancy inequalities across Asia.
AB - Life expectancy is a key indicator of population health and an important guide for health policy1,2. Although Asia represents approximately 60% of the global population, studies of longitudinal trends in life expectancy and their underlying drivers across Asian countries remain limited, with most previous research focused on western or high-income settings3, 4, 5–6. Here we provide a comprehensive analysis of life expectancy, cause-specific mortality and risk factors in 1990–2023 across 34 Asian countries and territories, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 20231,7. Life expectancy increased in all countries and territories between 1990 and 2023, with the largest annual gains observed in South Asia and the smallest annual gains in high-income Asia Pacific countries and territories. Reductions in cardiovascular disease mortality were the primary contributors to life expectancy gains in Central Asia, East Asia and high-income Asia Pacific, whereas declines in diarrhoeal diseases and tuberculosis contributed most in South and Southeast Asia. In 2019–2023, life expectancy declined in several Asian regions, largely driven by the COVID-19 pandemic, with a nearly two-year loss in the first year of the pandemic. The causes of changes in life expectancy and the contributing risk factors varied across regions and countries/territories. Therefore, under the principles of proportional universalism, proactive and effective policies at both regional and national levels are essential to reduce premature mortality and reduce life expectancy inequalities across Asia.
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105045491370
U2 - 10.1038/s41586-026-10739-6
DO - 10.1038/s41586-026-10739-6
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105045491370
SN - 0028-0836
VL - 656
SP - 971
EP - 979
JO - Nature
JF - Nature
IS - 8129
ER -